US State Dept "Counterinsurgency guide - jan 2009 doc

www.state.gov/documents/organization/119629.pdf

“Insurgency will be a large and growing element of the security challenges faced by
the United States in the 21st century. While the possibility of conventional conflict
remains, the fact is that, at the moment, the main powers of the international system
are deeply reluctant to engage in it. Insurgency, however, can and will flourish in the
modern environment. The strains created by globalization, by the collapse of weak
state structures, by demographic, environmental, and economic pressures, by the
ease of cooperation among insurgent groups and criminals, and by the appearance
of destructive radical ideologies, all augur a period in which free and moderate
governance is at risk. And in today’s world, state failure can quickly become not
merely a misfortune for local communities, but a threat to global security.”

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